Forgive me if this question is too elementary for this site, but I am wondering if there is any governing principle that guide us in assigning continuous probability distributions? I have encountered many situations where the authors assign a probability distribution whose motivation is not clear to me. For concreteness, consider a classical oscillator whose starting time is completely unknown. We are given that we know the total energy of the system. Then $p(x)dx$ is given by $2dt/T$, where $p(x)dx$ is the probability to find the oscillating mass in region dx and T is the time period of oscillation. This makes sense, but I am able to provide an argument for why this is the expression for $p(x)dx$, rather than say $dx/L$, where L is the total distance between the two extreme positions of the oscillator.
I mean both $2dt/T$ and $dx/L$ satisfy the normalization condition, but why is $p(x)dx=2dt/T$ rather than $p(x)dx=dx/L$ ?