1

My question somewhat parallels this question. There is one important difference however. In June 1941, Germany and Britain glared at each other across the English Channel, but there was no more land fighting between them in Europe after the Balkans campaign, and only minimal air and sea contact. (Hitler was fighting Britain in North Africa, but even there he "chose to" rather than "had to.") In 1812, on the other hand, Napoleon was still embroiled in the Peninsular War in Spain, which he described as an "ulcer."

The war in Spain was finely balanced, which suggests that Napoleon could have won it, if he had refrained from invading Russia. Why not throw the Grande Armee into Spain in 1812 instead? Even Hitler (much to his annoyance) refrained from attacking the Soviet Union while the Balkans campaign was in progress.

What caused him to choose to invade Russia before winning an ongoing war in Spain? There were some provocations, such as Russia's surreptitiously trading with the British, etc. But were there any existential threats comparable to the one that existed in Spain? Was there a plausible fear, for instance, that if he didn't attack Russia, that Russia would attack him? Or could it have been a case that the dangers of fighting a two front war were less understood than they were a century later?

Clarification

I am going to make explicit an intention that I had earlier only hinted at, that I am asking for "rational" reasons (if any) that Napoleon attacked Russia in 1812 (rather than later after the end of the Peninsular War). These reasons need not be "rational" with hindsight, only with what was believed in the context of the time; e.g. a fear of a preemptive Russian attack or a misunderstanding of a two front war (countries were more inclined to engage in them in the 18th rather than 20th century). What was the "conventional wisdom" at the time about an attack on Russia, given the experience of Charles XII of Sweden, but without the benefit of Hitler's or Napoleon's (later) experience? I am not seeking answers along the lines of "Napoleon was crazy" unless you make a case that rules out "rational" motives.

Tom Au
  • 104,554
  • 17
  • 253
  • 530
  • 2
    Tom, if you are Bonaparte in 1812, you don't believe that anything is beyond your capability. How many books on Emperor Napoleon have you read? Also, go and have a look at the preceding five years, after the French put down the Prussians. There are a variety of reasons, a few of them covered here – KorvinStarmast May 30 '20 at 21:27
  • The reason that Clausewitz wrote what he did is by watching Napoleon's combined Military and Political genius ... For about 20 years. for the time period that interests you, remember that Napoleon was putting relatives of his on various thrones. that's politics. That he tended to use military force to solve some political problems led to his exile. He fought the ancien regime and at the same time was trying to become a part of it by establishing a royal line; Bonaparte. Military history is a subset of political history: the Napoleonic era is a fine illustration, but it's not the only one – KorvinStarmast May 31 '20 at 01:39
  • @KorvinStarmast: You probably have a good point, but one that is just beyond me. On my senior paper in college, the grader gave me an "A-" but pointedly noted that "Au's grasp of politics is far less astute; nevertheless his focus is on military history." I hope that you will vote to open my revised, less opinion based question and provide what could be a brilliant answer. – Tom Au May 31 '20 at 15:29
  • 1
    I have made the question more objective and less opinion based by focusing on "rational" reasons for Napoleon's behavior, and nominate it for reopening in its current form. – Tom Au May 31 '20 at 15:29
  • 1
    Tom, my sources and notes are in a box somewhere. We studied the pol/mil interface of Napoleon in great detail in the mid 90's at staff college. Not sure that my pre internet learning will appeal to the "where's the link" crowd on SE. I'd need to find a few papers related to what we discussed on DTIC, I think. We'll see. – KorvinStarmast May 31 '20 at 15:59
  • @TomAu: While I approve of the re-open (not voted as I believe I can only vote once) shouldn't you rephrase this into terms relating to contemporary understanding? Right now it looks to me it might bring in too much hindsight. – gktscrk May 31 '20 at 16:08
  • @gktscrk: "Hindsight" is a lot of what we look for in history. ("Those who do not know history are doomed to repeated it," Santayana.) No one gets to make decisions with the benefit of hindsight. People can be judged only by what they knew at the time. So one possible answer is, yes countries fought two front wars in the 18th century without blinking an eye, and 20th century historians disparaged this practice, we would use our 20th century knowledge to critique Napoleon's acceptance of such a war. Re voting, you can vote "once" on "both" sides. First to close, then to reopen (after an edit). – Tom Au May 31 '20 at 16:14
  • Ah, fair enough. I'm wondering now, both in light of your comment here and elsewhere (regarding general rules and exceptions) whether the more precise question wouldn't be along the lines of "Were there contemporary Frenchmen who went on record against Napoleon to say that invading Russia was not a good idea?". I don't think it's exactly what you're looking for, but it escapes the paradox of trying to evaluate 19th century rationalism from our point of view (I'm not sure if this is a relevant concern). – gktscrk May 31 '20 at 16:44
  • 1
    @gktscrk: OK, added a new (2nd to last) sentence asking about the "conventional" wisdom of the time. – Tom Au May 31 '20 at 20:22
  • Perhaps I'm missing something, but I'm still struggling to see how this can be anything other than primarily opinion based. As far as I can recall, I don't think Napoleon ever tried to explain his decision (even as an attempt to justify the disaster after the event). – sempaiscuba May 31 '20 at 20:55
  • @sempaiscuba: I approach this (and all my other questions) from an "agnostic" point of view. I'm only mildly interested in what Napoleon thought or had to say. What I'm interested in is, was there a rational explanation that would pass muster with objective third party observers of the time (that we've forgotten). Either there was or wasn't such a rational explanation. That is a "binary" construct that pretty much rules out opinions. – Tom Au May 31 '20 at 21:09
  • If you are "... only mildly interested in what Napoleon thought or had to say", you might want to re-phrase the question "What caused him to choose to invade Russia before winning an ongoing war in Spain". After all, that choice was his - and his alone - so the only point of view that mattered was his. As to being a "binary" construct, surely what passed for "rational" would vary between individuals (and hence make it a matter of opinion)? – sempaiscuba May 31 '20 at 21:18
  • @sempaiscuba: I "limited" the definition of "rational." in the "followup" to that phrase: "Were there any existential threats comparable to the one that existed in Spain? Was there a plausible fear, for instance, that if he didn't attack Russia, that Russia would attack him?" There is limited variability, even between individuals. – Tom Au May 31 '20 at 21:24
  • Tom, If I get some spare time and the re open votes arrive, I think I can have a different answer on Tuesday based on a "realpolitik" style of answer. I found a few things that may be useful in framing an answer. Will get back to you. – KorvinStarmast Jun 01 '20 at 17:50

2 Answers2

6

Here is an article by Harold T. Parker which is appropriately titled "Why did Napoleon Invade Russia? A Study in Motivation and the Interrelations of Personality and Social Structure". It opens by pointing out that Napoleon's closest advisers strongly advised him against invading Russia. Therefore, according to Parker, most of the explanation for why he did it anyway rests on Napoleon's own psychology and experience in a social context of rising nationalism.

His underlying disposition toward combative mastery and control (he really enjoyed a fight, especially when successful) was laid down in a Corsican family and town; his abilities and his dedication to hard work were strengthened by a French education, in the college of Brienne, in a French army then undergoing progressive reform, and in his reading of the philosophes and history; his Corsican style of craftiness was practiced in the factional island quarrels. The French Revolution opened up opportunities to his great military and administrative gifts and revealed his superiority to himself and to a large public; a youth who in his historical reading had resonated to Robert Bruce, the liberator of a small country, now resonated to Alexander, Caesar, and Charlemagne, heroes who had conquered space and founded institutions.

His personality and dexterous, crafty practices, formed outside the system of international diplomacy he was entering, approximated sufficiently its values and methods that he could operate within it. The French revolutionary army, which he transformed into an imperial professional force, the excellent French foreign service which he improved, and the European practice of arranging supporting alliances offered him instruments for the achievement of great successes on the battlefield and at the negotiating table. Great rewards reinforced the disposition to seek mastery of everything in view and to push events to the utmost. But great success and the habitual exercise of command from the self-isolation of his office blinded him to the reality of what was possible. Restless, illimitable striving eventually entrapped him into a double war against two relatively invulnerable powers, England and Russia. Like Louis XIV and Louis XV before him, he lost on both fronts.

Brian Z
  • 20,406
  • 2
  • 58
  • 83
  • 2
    I also suspect that he understood that the war in Spain, which coined the term "guerrilla", was extremely hard to win on purely military terms. So it must have been tempting to stretch his legs and fight a regular war on his terms, against an enemy he could reach by land. – Italian Philosophers 4 Monica May 30 '20 at 17:41
  • 2
    @ItalianPhilosophers4Monica: And likewise, Hitler was frustrated by the naval-air war against Britain so he tried to "fight a regular war on his terms, against an enemy he could reach by land." – Tom Au May 30 '20 at 18:11
  • 1
    I'm assuming from the fact that you answered my question that you found it meaningful and not off topic. Will you give me the "last" vote I need to reopen it (if you have not already done so)? – Tom Au Jun 03 '20 at 02:57
4

Actually, I would argue Napoleon's plan to fight on two fronts (in Spain and in Russia) was quite rational.

  1. In 1812 there was a real threat that Russia will attack Poland; in fact, Russian tzar was planning exactly this. Russia's military plan for a war agains Napoleon was prepared in 1810 by general Karl Ludwig von Phull in 1812. The plan starts with the assertion that Napoleon will be ready to fight against Russia only after successfully concluding the Spanish campaign. (So, at least you got general von Phull on your side of the argument. But there is a reason that Napoleon's name is much more well-known than von Phull's: Napoleon did not always follow the conventional wisdom when fighting his wars.) To which extent the plan was really used by the Russian military is not exactly clear (per Wikipedia's page):

It is disputed how involved Phull was in the Russian decision to engage in a scorched earth policy against Napoleon Bonaparte during his invasion of Russia.

However, von Phull in his plan did stress the logistical vulnerability of Napoleon's army (in Russia).

In Spring of 1812 Napoleon actually had two plans for Russian campaign, depending on who will attack first: Russia or France. Per Wikipedia's page:

The official political aim of the campaign was to liberate Poland from the threat of Russia. Napoleon named the campaign the Second Polish War to gain favor with the Poles and to provide a political pretext for his actions.

  1. The real aim of the war was, of course, to maintain the Continental blockade against England. (In 1807 tzar Alexander I agreed to maintain the blockade, but quit in 1810.)

  2. The French expectation was that the war will be primarily won near the border and will be over by September of 1812. If this were the case, the Peninsular War would have been irrelevant (as far as the invasion of Russia is concerned),

  3. The alternative that you suggest would have been for Napoleon to finish the Spanish war first. The trouble is that France was fighting this war since 1807 and still was not done in 1812 after five years of fighting. Sometimes it takes decades to win a war against a guerrilla army (and, of course, you know many examples of this...). It is not even clear what does it mean to win such a war since the insurgents can simply bury their weapons and wait for the bulk of French troops to withdraw, and resume the war afterwards. (And Wellington's army would simply board their ships and go home for the time been, only to land back half a year later.)

At the same time, the Continental blockade would be failing.

  1. In retrospect: Let's ignore the Peninsular war for a moment, suppose French could have used the bulk of its forces in the Iberian peninsula (which, by some estimates, numbered up to 300K). Say, 200K of these forces were to join the Grande Armée. OK, Napoleon could have used them to strengthen his push against St Petersburg in 1812 (Laurent Gouvion Saint-Cyr's troops) and even took it. Now what? (The administrative capital of Russia would temporarily move East, say, to Kazan on Volga, and Alexander I still would refuse to sign the peace treaty.) Having extra troops only worsens the logistical problems that Napoleon was facing in Russia (more troops to feed). And, ultimately, it was the logistics, not the lack of troops, which doomed Napoleon's army in Russia.

I will add further citations and references later on.

Moishe Kohan
  • 6,307
  • 1
  • 26
  • 36
  • Both Napoleon and Hitler feared that Russia would attack him and 2) Both thought to destroy the Russian army near the border.
  • – Tom Au Jun 03 '20 at 22:41